1. Survival Equation

Continuity

The ratio of youth fluency to elder fluency. This tells us whether Kifuliiru is being successfully passed from one generation to the next. This is the earliest warning sign of language health.

Data & measurement

For Kifuliiru intergenerational health, collect V_y and V_e from the same fluency instrument and scoring rubric for Kifuliiru; mixing tasks breaks comparability. T normalizes the comparison window (use 1.0 for a single cross-section). Stratify by region if sample sizes allow, then aggregate with documented weights. Store raw counts and exclusion reasons next to each rate.

Solution & proof

By definition S = (V_y/V_e) × T for Kifuliiru youth versus elder proficiency on a shared task. Algebraically this is a ratio of two rates scaled by T. If V_y = V_e, then S = T (usually 1.0). Values below 1 indicate youth fluency lags elders on the chosen measure; values above 1 indicate the reverse. Uncertainty in S combines relative errors in V_y and V_e; prefer reporting confidence intervals on the inputs and propagating them to S when publishing Kifuliiru outcomes.

Examples

  1. 1. School district cohort

    Word problem

    In Uvira district, the same Kifuliiru oral proficiency task was given to youth (ages 5–25) and elders (60+). The rubric scores each cohort on [0, 1]. Youth averaged 0.72; elders averaged 0.80. The wave uses T = 1 (single cross-section). What is the survival score S for Kifuliiru?

    Kifuliiru cohort fluency rates

    CohortSymbolValue
    Youth fluency rateV_y0.72
    Elder fluency rateV_e0.80
    Time normalizationT1

    Solution

    Step 1 — Identify the model S = (V_y / V_e) × T for Kifuliiru.

    Step 2 — Substitute the table values.

    Step 3 — Divide and multiply: 0.72 / 0.80 = 0.90, times T = 1 gives S = 0.90. Interpretation: on this Kifuliiru task, youth are at 90% of elder proficiency; track across waves to see whether the gap closes.

  2. 2. After-school program site

    Word problem

    A second Kifuliiru program site shows stronger youth performance on the same task: V_y = 0.85, V_e = 0.68, T = 1. What is S?

    Second Kifuliiru site

    CohortSymbolValue
    Youth fluency rateV_y0.85
    Elder fluency rateV_e0.68
    Time normalizationT1

    Solution

    Step 1 — Same Kifuliiru survival formula.

    Step 2 — Substitute.

    Step 3 — S = 0.85 / 0.68 ≈ 1.25. Values above 1 mean youth outperform elders on this Kifuliiru measure—note possible task bias or schooling effects in the report.

Variables

SymbolDescription
SSurvival score (0 to 1+)
V_yYouth fluency rate (ages 5-25)
V_eElder fluency rate (ages 60+)
TTime normalization factor (usually 1.0)

Source

ALL_FORMULAS.md — Continuity

Tags

continuitykifuliiru-lab